Predicción del banzuke
¿Cómo quedará el próximo banzuke?
Predecimos los rangos del siguiente torneo a partir de los resultados del último, con reglas explicables. Cuando la Asociación publica el banzuke real, evaluamos en público cuánto acertamos.
De sept 2026 a nov 2026
Evaluación frente al banzuke oficial · 68 luchadores
- Dirección correcta
- 86,8 %
- Rango exacto
- 50 %
- A un rango o menos
- 94,1 %
- Cambios de división
- 8 de 12
Cómo predecimos
- Los yokozuna nunca bajan. Un ōzeki solo pierde el rango tras dos make-koshi seguidos (kadoban).
- Sekiwake y komusubi con kachi-koshi mantienen su rango; siempre hay al menos dos de cada.
- El resto sube o baja un rango por cada victoria neta (ausencias cuentan como derrotas), y las vacantes de san'yaku van al mejor clasificado con kachi-koshi.
- No modelamos los ascensos desde Makushita ni decisiones discrecionales del comité (por ejemplo, ascensos a ōzeki).
| Luchador | Balance | Antes | Predicción | Real |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Yokozuna E | Yokozuna E | Yokozuna E ✓ | |
| 0-0-15 | Yokozuna W | Yokozuna W | Yokozuna W ✓ | |
| 8-7 | Ōzeki E | Ōzeki E | Ōzeki 2 E ≈ | |
| 9-6 | Ōzeki W | Ōzeki W | Ōzeki W ✓ | |
| 11-4 | Ōzeki 2 E | Ōzeki 2 E | Ōzeki E ≈ | |
| 8-7 | Sekiwake E | Sekiwake E | Sekiwake W ✓ | |
| 11-4 | Sekiwake W | Sekiwake W | Sekiwake E ✓ | |
| 9-6 | Maegashira 2 W | Komusubi E | Komusubi W ✓ | |
| 10-5 | Maegashira 3 W | Komusubi W | Komusubi E ✓ | |
| 10-5 | Maegashira 6 E | Maegashira 1 E | Maegashira 1 E ✓ | |
| Fujiryoga | 8-7 | Maegashira 4 W | Maegashira 1 W | Maegashira 1 W ✓ |
| 9-6 | Maegashira 7 E | Maegashira 2 E | Maegashira 2 W ✓ | |
| 7-8 | Maegashira 2 E | Maegashira 2 W | Maegashira 3 E ≈ | |
| 10-5 | Maegashira 9 E | Maegashira 3 E | Maegashira 2 E ≈ | |
| 9-6 | Maegashira 8 E | Maegashira 3 W | Maegashira 4 E ≈ | |
| 9-6 | Maegashira 8 W | Maegashira 4 E | Maegashira 5 E ≈ | |
| 5-10 | Komusubi E | Maegashira 4 W | Maegashira 3 W ≈ | |
| 5-10 | Komusubi W | Maegashira 5 E | Maegashira 4 W ≈ | |
| 5-7-3 | Maegashira 1 E | Maegashira 5 W | Maegashira 6 E ≈ | |
| 6-9 | Maegashira 3 E | Maegashira 6 E | Maegashira 5 W ≈ | |
| 10-5 | Maegashira 11 E | Maegashira 6 W | Maegashira 7 E ≈ | |
| Kotoeiho | 5-10 | Maegashira 1 W | Maegashira 7 E | Maegashira 6 W ≈ |
| 9-6 | Maegashira 10 W | Maegashira 7 W | Maegashira 7 W ✓ | |
| 6-9 | Maegashira 5 E | Maegashira 8 E | Maegashira 8 E ✓ | |
| 6-9 | Maegashira 5 W | Maegashira 8 W | Maegashira 9 E ≈ | |
| 7-8 | Maegashira 7 W | Maegashira 9 E | Maegashira 8 W ≈ | |
| 9-6 | Maegashira 13 E | Maegashira 9 W | Maegashira 9 W ✓ | |
| 7-8 | Maegashira 9 W | Maegashira 10 E | Maegashira 10 E ✓ | |
| 4-9-2 | Maegashira 4 E | Maegashira 10 W | Maegashira 11 E ≈ | |
| 7-8 | Maegashira 10 E | Maegashira 11 E | Maegashira 10 W ≈ | |
| Asahakuryu | 8-7 | Maegashira 12 W | Maegashira 11 W | Maegashira 11 W ✓ |
| 8-7 | Maegashira 13 W | Maegashira 12 E | Maegashira 12 W ✓ | |
| 4-11 | Maegashira 6 W | Maegashira 12 W | Maegashira 12 E ✓ | |
| Toshinofuji | 9-6 | Maegashira 16 W | Maegashira 13 E | Maegashira 13 E ✓ |
| Asasuiryu | 8-7 | Maegashira 15 E | Maegashira 13 W | Maegashira 13 W ✓ |
| 8-7 | Maegashira 15 W | Maegashira 14 E | Maegashira 14 E ✓ | |
| Dewanoryu | 10-5 | Jūryō 1 E | Maegashira 14 W Sube a Makuuchi | Maegashira 14 W ✓ |
| 10-5 | Jūryō 3 E | Maegashira 15 E Sube a Makuuchi | Maegashira 15 E ✓ | |
| Kitanowaka | 11-4 | Jūryō 6 E | Maegashira 15 W Sube a Makuuchi | Maegashira 15 W ✓ |
| 5-10 | Maegashira 14 W | Maegashira 16 E | Jūryō 1 E | |
| 3-12 | Maegashira 11 W | Maegashira 16 W | Jūryō 3 W | |
| 8-7 | Jūryō 1 W | Maegashira 17 E Sube a Makuuchi | Maegashira 16 W ≈ | |
| Arashifuji | 10-5 | Jūryō 5 W | Jūryō 1 E | Maegashira 16 E |
| 4-11 | Maegashira 14 E | Jūryō 1 W Baja a Jūryō | Jūryō 2 W ≈ | |
| 8-7 | Jūryō 2 E | Jūryō 2 E | Maegashira 17 E | |
| 8-7 | Jūryō 3 W | Jūryō 2 W | Jūryō 1 W ≈ | |
| Kazekeno | 8-7 | Jūryō 4 E | Jūryō 3 E | Jūryō 2 E ≈ |
| 11-4 | Jūryō 11 E | Jūryō 3 W | Jūryō 3 E ✓ | |
| 9-6 | Jūryō 8 E | Jūryō 4 E | Jūryō 5 E ≈ | |
| Kazuma | 6-9 | Jūryō 2 W | Jūryō 4 W | Jūryō 4 E ✓ |
| Kayo | 11-4 | Jūryō 12 W | Jūryō 5 E | Jūryō 4 W ≈ |
| 3-12 | Maegashira 17 E | Jūryō 5 W Baja a Jūryō | Jūryō 6 E ≈ | |
| 0-0-15 | Maegashira 12 E | Jūryō 6 E Baja a Jūryō | Jūryō 5 W ≈ | |
| Nabatame | 9-6 | Jūryō 10 E | Jūryō 6 W | Jūryō 6 W ✓ |
| Tanji | 9-6 | Jūryō 10 W | Jūryō 7 E | Jūryō 7 E ✓ |
| 7-8 | Jūryō 7 E | Jūryō 7 W | Jūryō 8 E ≈ | |
| 8-7 | Jūryō 9 W | Jūryō 8 E | Jūryō 8 W ✓ | |
| 9-6 | Jūryō 11 W | Jūryō 8 W | Jūryō 7 W ≈ | |
| 5-10 | Jūryō 4 W | Jūryō 9 E | Jūryō 9 E ✓ | |
| 6-9 | Jūryō 6 W | Jūryō 9 W | Jūryō 9 W ✓ | |
| 7-8 | Jūryō 9 E | Jūryō 10 E | Jūryō 10 E ✓ | |
| Wakanosho | 0-0-15 | Maegashira 16 E | Jūryō 10 W Baja a Jūryō | Jūryō 10 W ✓ |
| 5-10 | Jūryō 7 W | Jūryō 11 E | Jūryō 11 E ✓ | |
| 3-12 | Jūryō 5 E | Jūryō 11 W | Jūryō 11 W ✓ | |
| 7-8 | Jūryō 13 E | Jūryō 12 E | Jūryō 13 E ≈ | |
| 7-8 | Jūryō 13 W | Jūryō 12 W | Jūryō 13 W ≈ | |
| 6-9 | Jūryō 12 E | Jūryō 13 E | Jūryō 12 W ≈ | |
| 4-11 | Jūryō 8 W | Jūryō 13 W | Jūryō 14 E ≈ | |
| Nishikigi | 6-9 | Jūryō 14 W | Jūryō 14 E | — |
| Tochitaikai | 5-10 | Jūryō 14 E | Jūryō 14 W | — |